RF's Financial News

RF's Financial News

Sunday, September 6, 2026

This Week in Barrons: 09.06.2026

 


Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options


https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-09062026-r-f-culbertson-7gkbe 


Factually: (a) The S&P500 has been experiencing some speed wobbles.  (b)  Seasonally speaking, this comes at about the time you’d expect.  (c) Credit markets are whispering a couple of concerns (tech and liquidity).  (d) Beware of boom-bust in tech/AI-land - particularly as borrowing blooms.  And (e) Profit margins have reached a record high (driven by tech).  Overall, per Callum Thomas: There are clearly some short-term wobbles underway, and aside from seasonality - there are a few risks to the downside like valuations, allocations, sentiment, and our FED acting as a catalyst.  The interesting upside scenario to ponder is: What if it all just works out?  My 3 PICKS for the upcoming WEEK are all crypto related: HYPE - that’s going to $120/share, NEAR that’s on its way to $15, and ZCash (ZEC) who’s target is $5,000.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post:  #investing #stocks #bonds #options


https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-09062026-r-f-culbertson-7gkbe 


Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options


Sunday, August 30, 2026

This Week in Barrons: 08.30.2026

 


Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options


https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-08302026-r-f-culbertson-tkewe 


Factually: (a) Investor sentiment remains bullish.  (b) Stock correlations have dropped to record lows.  (c) Volatility (VIX) is low when compared to seasonality and single-stock metrics.  (d) Semi-conductor stocks have peaked, and remain weak.  And (e) Software is looking stronger.  Is the software vs hardware trade reversing?  Overall, per Callum Thomas: The market’s mood is bullish due to some rotational trades, but the question has become: When does this consensus bullishness become complacency?  Keep your mind open, your eye on the charts, and your finger on the sell button - because a few volatility flags are flaring-up on the horizon.  My 3 TIPS are: (a) Buy physical silver, (b) Buy HYPE and Bitcoin, and (c) Nibble the XSW over $210.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post:  #investing #stocks #bonds #options


https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-08302026-r-f-culbertson-tkewe 


Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options




Sunday, August 23, 2026

This Week in Barrons: 08.23.2026



Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-08232026-r-f-culbertson-7yecc 

 

Factually: (a) Global corporate earnings estimates are surging.  (b) Tech is seeing big insider buying and some heavy shorting.  (c) Energy, Gold, and Bitcoin (after seeing major ETF outflows) are all turning upward/green again.  (d) Within emerging markets, Indian stocks have been punished as an AI-loser.  And (e) The VIX is bouncing along the bottom of its range – with seasonality telling us that too shall rise.  Overall, per Callum Thomas: The global equities bull market looks alive and well, especially when you consider the surge in earnings expectations underpinning it.  U.S. tech stocks meanwhile are seeing mixed signals as a 3-month stall sets in.  And on the risk front, volatility is lurking in the shadows, with seasonality suggesting spikes in the VIX; therefore, keep some of your chips ‘close to your vest’ (aka the risks remain).  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post:  #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-08232026-r-f-culbertson-7yecc

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 


 

Sunday, August 16, 2026

This Week in Barrons: 08.16.2026


Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-08162026-r-f-culbertson-7jjme 

 

Factually: (a) The equal-weighted S&P500 continues its upturn vs the cap-weighted S&P.  For now, that’s a good thing as it reflects a bullish broadening theme.  (b) Earnings revisions surge higher – partly supported by a strong macro environment.  (c) Sentiment & allocations remain high thanks to higher prices and confidence.  And (d) Seasonality, a stalling Mag-7 (Lag-7), and credit advances vs declines are suggesting caution.  Overall, per Callum Thomas: It’s a distinctly bullish looking environment = strong trend, strong breadth, good macro, and buoyant confidence, with a few shadows = risk of overconfidence, seasonality, stalling mega caps, and rising rates.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post:  #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-08162026-r-f-culbertson-7jjme 

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 


 

Sunday, August 9, 2026

This Week in Barrons: 08.09.2026

 


Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-08092026-r-f-culbertson-n1i5c 

 

Factually (a) Global equities are in a bull market (path of least resistance = higher).  (b) US equities are in a broad-based upswing.  (c) Investors are scrambling into tech stocks at a record pace.  (d) A calmer macro (limited Iran War) is keeping the lid on credit spreads.  And (e) BUT VIX seasonality is telling us to stay alert to any/all Q3 surprises – “Life comes at you Fast.”  Overall, per Callum Thomas, the global equity bull market rages on, and with supportive-benign macro – the path of least resistance is higher. Fair Warning: VIX seasonality and known tail risks suggest still having a plan and process on the risk management front…  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post:  #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-08092026-r-f-culbertson-n1i5c 

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

 

Sunday, August 2, 2026

This Week in Barrons: 08.02.2026


Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-08022026-r-f-culbertson-qn3mc 

 

Factually (a) The S&Ps closed July lower by -0.1%, but still up +9.4% YTD.  (b) Semiconductors have seen a +20% correction off their peak.  (c) Seasonality is showing semis remaining lower with elevated volatility.  (d) Even REITs and defensives are sounding a cautionary tone.  And (e) Resource-based capex is being crowded out by tech capex.  Overall, per Callum Thomas, the carnage that unfolded last week in semiconductors is probably setting up for consolidation and ranging phase (at best) vs the correction and resurgence like we saw earlier this year.  Multiple risk flags continue to wave so don’t be blindsided. Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post:  #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-08022026-r-f-culbertson-qn3mc 

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

Sunday, July 26, 2026

This Week in Barrons: 07.26.2026

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-07262026-r-f-culbertson-wcnvc 

 

Factually, (a) The Mag-6 (minus Apple), the other 493, the cap + equal-weighted S&P500 have peaked.  (b) Seasonally speaking, market messiness / volatility is coming right on schedule.  (c) Retail trading behavior is consistent with the hints of regime change.  (d) A FED rate hike risk will simply mimic the global trend and weigh further on stocks.  And (e) A backdrop of expensive valuations and much lower free-cash-flow positions is damping any rally.  Overall, per Callum Thomas: There has been a distinct change in market tone this past week.  Geopolitical flare-ups, rising rates and AI/capex concerns are making markets wary.  Keep risk ‘front-of-mind’ – so you don’t get blindsided.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post:  #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-07262026-r-f-culbertson-wcnvc 

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

Sunday, July 12, 2026

This Week in Barrons: 07.12.2026

 


Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-07122026-r-f-culbertson-kqbte 

 

Factually, (a) Speculative trading in leveraged ETFs has surged.  (b) Investors are increasingly ‘all-in’ on stocks for their portfolio allocation. (c) The Fed is becoming more hawkish - echoing a global pivot to rate hikes.  (d) July through October tends to be a more volatile time of the year.  And (e) A long-term trend change is underway in US vs Global relative performance.  Overall, per Callum Thomas, multiple risk flags are waving as we head towards what has historically been a more volatile time of the year.  Risks are showing themselves both on the shorter-term = tactical front, and on the longer-term = bigger picture horizon.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post:  #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-07122026-r-f-culbertson-kqbte 

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

Sunday, July 5, 2026

This Week in Barrons: 07.05.2026


Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-07052026-r-f-culbertson-trrrc/ 

 

Factually, (a) The equal-weighted S&P continues to make new highs, while the cap-weighted index remains stuck – thanks to the Lag-7.  (b) The S&P500 Value index also rung-up all-time-highs last week.  (c) Micro caps and financials are putting in promising price action.  And (d) the USA, Korea, and China have one large, AI, bubbly thing in common.  Overall, per Callum Thomas, the bull-market-broadening and bullish rotation theme continues to play through, with the old leaders lagging, and everything else starting pick up. This is a constructive development, but there are a few things to keep an eye on including the XLF vs SPY ratio, the Microcap ETF = IWC, and REITs.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post:  #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-07052026-r-f-culbertson-trrrc/

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 




 

Sunday, June 28, 2026

This Week in Barrons: 06.28.2026


 Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-06282026-r-f-culbertson-wtize/ 

 

Factually: (a) The Mag-7 have become the Lag-7 with an almost -20% performance gap YTD.  (b) Across various indicators valuations look expensive.  (c) Strong earnings expectations are supporting high valuations.  (d) Tech stocks have become the dominant sector in many portfolios / metrics.  And (e) after a long period of trending higher, I’m expecting a period of range-bound-tradingOverall, per Callum Thomas:  The bullish rotation theme remains in play as the Mag-7 decline and the S&P493 win.  But there is a definite bearish vibe where the Lag-7 may foreshadow an extended Bear Market – even if we manage a short-term rebound rally.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post:  #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-06282026-r-f-culbertson-wtize/ 

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

Sunday, June 21, 2026

This Week in Barrons: 06.21.2026


Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-06212026-r-f-culbertson-igcae/ 

 

Factually: (a) Mag-7 are underperforming vs the “S&P493 = eXMAG-7”.  (b) Valuations are high because profitability is high, but profitability is cyclical.  (c) Investor cash allocations are very low - a warning sign for Mag-7 stocks. (d) Margin debt acceleration is also reaching warning levels.  And (e) Stock market seasonality turns negative from July-Oct.  Overall, per Callum Thomas:  We are witnessing a continued bull-market-broadening and bullish rotation into the eXMag-7 as the eXMag-7 makes new highs along with the equal vs cap weighted S&Ps.  The warning signs are: (a) There is very little retail cash on the sidelines. (b) Levels of margin debt are moving dangerously higher.  And (c) Continued underperformance by the Mag-7 could turn into something sinister.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post:  #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-06212026-r-f-culbertson-igcae/ 

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options


 

Sunday, June 14, 2026

This Week in Barrons: 06.14.2026

 


Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-06142026-r-f-culbertson-wwmke 

 

Factually: (a) The steep sell-off looks to have run its course. (b) Leveraged long ETF traders bought the dip. (c) The equal-weighted S&P500 (RSP) has already made new highs. (d) AND small caps (IWM) are gaining ground in absolute and relative terms.  Overall, per Callum Thomas, this sharp-sell-off looks to have largely run its course, and dip-buyers were there for it.  Being optimistic, small caps and the equally weighted S&P Index point to a continued bull market and a broadening ‘n bullish rotation.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post:  #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-06142026-r-f-culbertson-wwmke 

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 


Sunday, June 7, 2026

This Week in Barrons: 06.07.2026


Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-06072026-r-f-culbertson-qtyve 

 

Factually: (a) It’s convenient that the Nasdaq ($42T in market cap) plunged 4.18% on Friday = $1.75T == delivering the exact liquidity required for SpaceX’s IPO this Friday. (b) With the S&P denial, investor expectations are being reset for this Friday’s IPO.  (c) Mag6 buybacks have evaporated, and the semis are closer to coming ‘Down-to-Earth’.  (d) Investors should be closing their tech shorts early this week, and (e) last week’s rotation into relatively smaller-cap financials, healthcare, consumer staples, and utilities was extremely orderly.  Overall, Friday’s rotation was just the liquidity SpaceX required for Friday’s ‘coming-out party’ and gave the semis the room they needed to at least ‘tread-water’ until the next FED meeting.  One day does not a trend make, and the trend is still our friend ... until it ends.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post:  #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-06072026-r-f-culbertson-qtyve 

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

 


 

Sunday, May 31, 2026

This Week in Barrons: 05.31.2026

 


Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-05312026-r-f-culbertson-n2kfe 

 

Factually: (a) The S&Ps gained +5.15% in May (up +10.73% YTD).  (b) Investor expectations, allocations, and valuations are near record highs.  (c) Buyback tailwinds have faded, and semis look heavily overbought.  (d) Stock short interest has surged to decade+ highs.  And (e) Small Caps & Software are showing us that there are overlooked opportunities out there.  Overall, per Callum Thomas: there are more signs of market extremes as a generational run in stock market speculation sets in.  While the risks and vulnerabilities are arguably rising, the trend is still your friend ... until it ends.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post:  #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-05312026-r-f-culbertson-n2kfe 

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

Sunday, May 24, 2026

This Week in Barrons: 05.24.2026


Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-05242026-r-f-culbertson-3jsie 

 

Factually: (a) The equally weighted S&P500 has broken out to new highs. (b) Space stocks are soaring following the SpaceX IPO filing.  (c) SpaceX (SPCX) could end up with an index weighting of 3%.  (d) The mega-IPO wave is a sign of the times (late-cycle signal).  And (e) the swearing-in of a new FED Chair might be a bearish omen.  Overall, per Callum Thomas, the bull market got a bit more bullish this week with the breakout of the equal-weighted index.  However, the arrival of a new Fed Chair and IPO boom point to a more volatile horizon…   Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post:  #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-05242026-r-f-culbertson-3jsie 

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options