This Week in Barrons: 04.06.2025

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-462025-r-f-culbertson-tlx6c 

Factually: It would make sense that we rally next week … and make new lows later in the quarter.  The technical and sentiment conditions are ripe for a rebound, but the fundamentals, macro and value factors still look early in a bear market process.  It would take an extremely powerful catalyst to turn this sinking market around.  Per Callum Thomas: Rally-chasers can try their luck, but investors need to exercise patience and caution in searching for the next generational buying opportunity … aka = NOT YET.  Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-462025-r-f-culbertson-tlx6c 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

This Week in Barrons: 03.30.2025

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-03302025-r-f-culbertson-4ubnc 

Factually: (a) The S&Ps failed to retake their 200-day moving average.  (b) Whether the 5550 level on the SPX can act as support – is the next big test.  (c) Semiconductor sales and many market indicators are turning significantly lower.  (b) In general, market tides are moving out.  But, Tariff Day is coming.  Per Callum Thomas: “Learn to love the cycle; to be a victor not a victim, and learn to keep things in perspective.”  Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-03302025-r-f-culbertson-4ubnc 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

This Week in Barrons: 03.23.2025

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-03252025-r-f-culbertson-erwtc 

Overall per Callum Thomas: There are a lot of short-term, tactical indicators (e.i. sentiment, math, etc.) are oversold == buys, but all of the medium-to-longer term indicators are bearish and not even close to nearing a BUY.  Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-03252025-r-f-culbertson-erwtc 

This Week in Barrons: 3.16.2025

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-03162025-r-f-culbertson-9ojqc

Overview: (a) Last week, stocks bounced off of key support levels.  (b) Short-term sentiment is washed out, and arguably the market was looking for any excuse to rally.  (c) The inconvenient truth is that the market has peaked at expensive valuations – giving it a wide path to correct.  Per Callum Thomas: conditions are ripe for a short-term rally, but that rally is likely capped and range-bound at best.  Unfortunately, none of the medium to longer-term risk signals have been resolved, and will require more time to change.  Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-03162025-r-f-culbertson-9ojqc

This Week in Barrons: 3.2.2025

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barons-232025-r-f-culbertson-7fbbc 

There are many short-term indicators that will make it easy for the market to bounce, but an ever-increasing body of more longer-term/cyclical bearish evidence is sitting on the horizon.  We’re at a dangerous point in the cycle – especially with an uncharted policy backdrop.  Per Callum Thomas: (a) The S&P declined -1.4% in Feb., but is still up 1.2% YTD.  (b) Consumer + Wall Street expectations are coming off their highs, and this spike in bearishness may help the market bounce.  And (c) foreign money-flows have helped maintain the “U.S. Exceptionalism Bubble”.  

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barons-232025-r-f-culbertson-7fbbc 

This Week in Barrons: 02.23.2025

 Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-02232025-r-f-culbertson-6qwsc

It’s a forever case of mixed signals.  Bonds are telling us that inflation and interest rates will remain higher for longer.  I remain bullish on precious metals and commodities as a hedge due to their extremely cheap relative value, record low investor allocation, and continued set of buy signs.  Per Callum Thomas: Geopolitical chaos is causing investor sentiment, and markets to underperform around the weekend.  We’re Back in ‘da Box as upside pushes are being limited by sentiment shifts and a concentrated / overvalued market.  It will NOT get any easier from here.  Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

This Week in Barrons: 2.16.2025

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-2162025-r-f-culbertson-87qgc 

Market sentiment is shifting from euphoria to doubt as valuations continue to move toward the upper end of their new higher range. Passive index funds continue show inflows over active funds. The risk of recession is low due to: manufacturing being in expansion mode, our GDP currently being at 3.9%, and earnings continuing to beat estimates. Per Callum Thomas, the U.S. dominates the global equities’ arena. The sentiment shift from extreme bullishness and frenzied inflows – to increased skepticism and concern – is simply a part of today’s reality. 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options