This Week in Barrons: 04.25.2025

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-04252025-r-f-culbertson-hnaec 

Investor sentiment is bearishly one-sided … but the pros know that this is an eye-of-the-storm type of moment.  The lack of new bad news, some less bad news, and the rebound in stocks is giving everyone a sense of calm and relief.  However, there is a gnawing sense that whether you call it a bull trap, a bear market rally, or an eye-of-the-storm moment – there is another shoe to drop.  Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-04252025-r-f-culbertson-hnaec 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

This Week in Barrons: 04.20.2025

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-04202025-r-f-culbertson-qnqkc 

When you ‘Follow the Money’ … it shows us that foreign investors are voting with their feet.  Per Callum Thomas, they’re concerned about the U.S. Dollar, high valuations, policy uncertainty, and recession risks.  They’re rotating out of U.S. stocks and back into their home markets or gold.  It doesn’t make sense for U.S. assets to trade at such a premium when Trump’s Tariff risk is this high, and our recession risk is over 50%.  [FYI: When you’re priced-for-perfection and then find yourself in an increasingly imperfect world – it’s time to pause and re-think.]  Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-04202025-r-f-culbertson-qnqkc 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

This Week in Barrons: 04.13.2025

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-04132025-r-f-culbertson-phc8c 

Overall: stocks came back from the brink of ‘tariff tinkering’ and ‘worst-fear dreaming’.  Markets remain unresolved, recession risks are still rising, and it will be tough for bulls to keep control of this market.  Per Callum Thomas: With volatility this prevalent, bull traps and bear market rallies must remain front of mind. A lot of market damage has been done, but U.S. markets are clearly ‘squaring-off’ against the prospect of a Great Restructuring.  Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-04132025-r-f-culbertson-phc8c 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

This Week in Barrons: 04.06.2025

 

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https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-462025-r-f-culbertson-tlx6c 

Factually: It would make sense that we rally next week … and make new lows later in the quarter.  The technical and sentiment conditions are ripe for a rebound, but the fundamentals, macro and value factors still look early in a bear market process.  It would take an extremely powerful catalyst to turn this sinking market around.  Per Callum Thomas: Rally-chasers can try their luck, but investors need to exercise patience and caution in searching for the next generational buying opportunity … aka = NOT YET.  Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-462025-r-f-culbertson-tlx6c 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

This Week in Barrons: 03.30.2025

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-03302025-r-f-culbertson-4ubnc 

Factually: (a) The S&Ps failed to retake their 200-day moving average.  (b) Whether the 5550 level on the SPX can act as support – is the next big test.  (c) Semiconductor sales and many market indicators are turning significantly lower.  (b) In general, market tides are moving out.  But, Tariff Day is coming.  Per Callum Thomas: “Learn to love the cycle; to be a victor not a victim, and learn to keep things in perspective.”  Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-03302025-r-f-culbertson-4ubnc 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

This Week in Barrons: 03.23.2025

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-03252025-r-f-culbertson-erwtc 

Overall per Callum Thomas: There are a lot of short-term, tactical indicators (e.i. sentiment, math, etc.) are oversold == buys, but all of the medium-to-longer term indicators are bearish and not even close to nearing a BUY.  Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-03252025-r-f-culbertson-erwtc 

This Week in Barrons: 3.16.2025

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-03162025-r-f-culbertson-9ojqc

Overview: (a) Last week, stocks bounced off of key support levels.  (b) Short-term sentiment is washed out, and arguably the market was looking for any excuse to rally.  (c) The inconvenient truth is that the market has peaked at expensive valuations – giving it a wide path to correct.  Per Callum Thomas: conditions are ripe for a short-term rally, but that rally is likely capped and range-bound at best.  Unfortunately, none of the medium to longer-term risk signals have been resolved, and will require more time to change.  Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-03162025-r-f-culbertson-9ojqc