This Week in Barrons: 06.29.2025

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-06292025-r-f-culbertson-jrnyc

Factually: (a) The price action during the first half of 2025 is characteristic of a “late-cycle reset”. (b) US Semiconductors’ market cap weight reached an all-time-high.  (c) The biggest stocks are much bigger than usual, and vice versa.  (d) Risk pressures continue to increase – generating bullish signals.  Per Callum Thomas: The key theme of this week is a bit of marketplace examination in terms of the pressure points and risks – but if we’re witnessing a “late-cycle reset” we could witness a “What-If” bullish rally.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-06292025-r-f-culbertson-jrnyc

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

This Week in Barrons: 6.22.2025

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https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-6222025-r-f-culbertson-zokhc 

Factually: (a) The market is facing a “Wall of Worry” as noise levels are increasing.  (b) Currency flows coupled with negative seasonality are showing a transitional phase in the market.  (c) Again, it’s a perfect storm for increased Geopolitical Risk + Tariffs + the Big, Beautiful Bill to come back into focus.  Per Callum Thomas: the major theme for the short-term is one of worry, pessimism, and we hit a sour-spot.  The long-term optimist in me will say that walls of worry are made to be hurdled, but we cannot ignore the legitimate concerns.Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-6222025-r-f-culbertson-zokhc 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

This Week in Barrons: 6.15.2025

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https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-6152025-r-f-culbertson-fv6ac 

Factually: (a) Stocks are stumbling on geopolitics (S&P back below 6000).  (b) Sentiment remains bearish and defensive.  (c) Investor allocations to stocks are historically elevated.  And (d) energy stocks are unloved, undervalued, and unprepared for oil price upside.  TIMING is key.  Per Collum Thomas: Events-n-Excuses have a habit of showing up at times when markets needed a catalyst to justify a move.  When it comes to geopolitics, the stage of the market cycle and the width of its pressure point is more important than the nature of the event.  [FYI: Watch Silver hitting $120/oz. and Gold @ $5,500/oz. over the next 2 years.]. Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-6152025-r-f-culbertson-fv6ac 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

This Week in Barrons: 6.08.2025

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https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-6082025-r-f-culbertson-khrkc 

Factually: (a) The S&Ps closed back above 6,000 on Friday.  (b) The third year of a bull market (this year) will be messy.  (c) Small caps remain unloved and undervalued.  It’s become common-place in the 2020’s to follow a rapid collapse with even a faster recovery.  Per Callum Thomas: Third-year bull markets have a range-bound / volatility behavior that produces interesting opportunities – hiding-out in plain sight.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-6082025-r-f-culbertson-khrkc 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

This Week in Barrons: 6.01.2025

 

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https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-6012025-r-f-culbertson-msebc

Just the Facts:  

• - The S&Ps closed up +6.2% in May and +0.5% YTD.  This ranked the U.S. lower than the rest of the world on the YTD returns scale for the first time.
• - Sentiment rebounded in May, and remains historically high.
• - Big Tech is seeing small job growth and virtually zero M&A activity.
• - As life expectancy increases, people are Working-for-Longer.

Overall, per Callum Thomas: This pattern has the Bull-Case being a late-90’s, late-cycle reset, and the Bear-Case being the bull-trap that occurred prior to the 2008 Great Financial Crisis.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-6012025-r-f-culbertson-msebc

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

This Week in Barrons: May 25, 2025

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https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-5252025-r-f-culbertson-uacbc

It seems like the sell-off that everyone was waiting for has finally arrived. The market (technically) was ripe and primed for a pullback, and simply awaiting some news or narratives as a reason/excuse. Per Callum Thomas: With the ebb and flow of government policy and macro narratives, there’s a new acronym in town: “RTFL” (Range Trading For Longer). With re-shoring talk rising, and tech capex dominating - where are the raw materials?  Where will we find all the energy to run the new economy?  Where are the materials to build the structures, the products, the devices, and wire it all together?  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-5252025-r-f-culbertson-uacbc

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

This Week in Barrons: 5.11.2025

 

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https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-5112025-r-f-culbertson-3oauc

This rally has stalled at resistance, and seasonality is signaling that downside risk is imminent. However, the risk-off signal is fragile, and could switch quickly from bear-to-bull at any time. The word ‘Recession’ is on every earnings call, and could become a self-reinforcing prophecy. Overall, a bull-bear stalemate has set in. Per Callum Thomas: This market is sitting on a window of optimism and anxiety, our floor and ceiling have been set, and there’s an explosive third option lying in wait. Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-5112025-r-f-culbertson-3oauc

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options