This Week in Barrons: 11.30.2025

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https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-11302025-r-f-culbertson-f714c 

 

Factually: (a) The S&P500 rebounded late-November to close “up” +0.13% on the month. (b) It’s now up 7-months in a row (n.b. win streaks often end at

7-months).  (c) LatAm (Venezuela) geopolitical risk is not being priced into markets yet.  And (d) US Small & Mid-caps look cheap vs history and vs expensive Mega caps.  Overall, per Callum Thomas: it’s looking like the November sell-off acted as a risk-clearing event, with a decline and subsequent surge in breadth.  This hints at

a “stealth correction” with side-lined money taking the chance to buy on a long-awaited pullback.  Yet, complacency is not part of this market’s playbook.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post: #investing #stocks#bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-11302025-r-f-culbertson-f714c 

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

 

This Week in Barrons: 11.23.2025

 

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https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-11232025-r-f-culbertson-p8lsc 

 

Factually:  This week: (a) we found out where the key support levels are.  (b) We saw some short-term buy signals and buy-the-dip activity.  (c) Long-term sentiment indicators are sounding some warning signs.  (d) The current technology capex cycle appears to be extended.  And (e) It’s important to layout and quantify downside (and upside) risks.  Overall, the initial wave of the latest risk-off episode looks to have completed with markets finding support (and clarifying their key trigger points).  Short-term we could get a Thanksgiving rally, but the numerous and varied pressures building up in the system caution against any complacency.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-11232025-r-f-culbertson-p8lsc 

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

This Week in Barrons: 11.09.2025

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https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-11092025-r-f-culbertson-c7swc 

 

Factually: (a) Bitcoin is rolling over: a warning sign for teetering tech stocks. (b) Investors of all types are increasingly all-in on the AI trade. (c) The AI race is heating up as an AI credit boom kicks-off. And (d) Investor sentiment is euphoric across numerous metrics while consumer confidence is slumping.  Overall, per Callum Thomas: the AI bubble continues to simmer away as investors increasingly pile into the only game in town.  This has all the hallmarks of a late-cycle market, with sentiment riding high and big bets being placed.  The mid-October volatility spike continues to show that we’re in an environment where the slightest post, nudge ‘n sneeze can send shudders through an otherwise complacent marketplace.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-11092025-r-f-culbertson-c7swc 

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

This Week in Barrons: 11.02.2025

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https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-11022025-r-f-culbertson-iplcc 

 

Factually: (a) The S&Ps gained +2.27% in Oct – their 6th monthly gain in a row.  Following 6 consecutive monthly gains, another gain is more likely. (b) Seasonally, November is historically the best month of the year.  (c)  Tech’s surging profit margins help explain their extreme highs in valuations.  Profit margins peak before stocks, and with no margin peaks – then no stock peaks.  Overall, per Callum Thomas: There is a statistical slant towards another month of gains in November.  Yet never be satisfied with a 1-sided synopsis, bad breadth, statistical tails, and/or increasingly expensive valuations.  I suggest you not get too complacent this coming week.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-11022025-r-f-culbertson-iplcc 

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options