This Week in Barrons: 07.20.2025

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-7202025-r-f-culbertson-bqmqc 

Factually: (a) Semiconductors (along with their market cap weight) made further ATHs. (b) History tells us that the semis are normal & healthy, but need to be monitored. (c) Market cap Put/Call ratios and stretched valuations = stocks that are late in the cycle. And (d) Market booms start with good reason, and end when things get unreasonable. Overall, it’s a good opportunity to take a minute and look at the markets – as they relate to the risk and cycles outlook. Learning from history means learning to identify risks, opportunities, and what may come next. Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-7202025-r-f-culbertson-bqmqc 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

This Week in Barrons: 06.13.2025

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-06132025-r-f-culbertson-dwqic 

Factually: (a) We appear to be going through a “late-cycle reset”. (b) Institutional sentiment is healing, and risk appetite is resurging. (c) Retail investors are running very high equity allocations. (d) Our FED cutting rates may NOT be a good thing. (e) The IPO market is opening-up again. Overall per Callum Thomas: There is mounting evidence for the ‘Late-Cycle Reset’ hypothesis. Just like the late-90’s we’re seeing: (a) A frothy market with increasing pressures, (b) That was given ‘new life’ via a healthy correction (shaking out sentiment but doing little fundamental or enduring damage), and (c) Then will melt-up into a later and larger blow-off top. Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-06132025-r-f-culbertson-dwqic 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

This Week in Barrons: 7.6.2025

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-7062025-r-f-culbertson-zqwoc 

Factually: (a) The S&Ps have broken out to all-time highs, and put in a “Golden Cross” uptrend signal.  (b) Seasonality is still bullish, and will turn bearish later in the year.  (c) Sentiment is bullish, but policy risk is also rising.  (d) And we’re back to investors running record high allocations to tech funds.  Per Callum Thomas: This late-cycle reset is running its course via the “re-frothification” of markets.  The bullish momentum we’re seeing could have room to run, but we have renewed QE and Trade-War-Truce expirations starting next week.  I’d sell: tech, U.S. Credit, and the US dollar.  I’d buy: commodities, bitcoin, and precious metal miners.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-7062025-r-f-culbertson-zqwoc 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options