This Week in Barrons: 12.21.2025

 

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 https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-12212025-r-f-culbertson-zwpqe 

 

Factually: (a) The “Presidential Cycle” points to a volatile and ranging 2026.  (b) Global stocks have significantly outperformed US stocks this year.  (c) Fund managers are running record low cash allocations.  (d) Mid-Cap stocks look cheap in absolute and in relative terms.  Overall, per Callum Thomas: It’s been a very interesting year on both the risk and return fronts.  There are a few key inflection points in play that are going to be worth keeping close tabs on into 2026.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-12212025-r-f-culbertson-zwpqe 

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

This Week in Barrons: 12.14.2025

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https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-12142025-r-f-culbertson-m4sze

 

Factually: (a) Tech is faltering and Bitcoin remains near lows.  (b) The FED rate cuts are moving policy into a stock-friendly zone. (c) Rate cuts near all-time highs are historically bullish, and more cuts are likely.  (d) Mentioning AI during an earnings call is being rewarded, although prices can diverge from fundamentals.  Overall, per Callum Thomas: Last Friday’s sell-off appears to be a post-November aftershock, with some risks lingering; however, extending the FED rate cuts could prolong the stock rally.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-12142025-r-f-culbertson-m4sze

 

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This Week in Barrons: 12.07.2025

 

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https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-12072025-r-f-culbertson-oupvc 

 

Factually: (a) Years ending in 6 (e.g. 2026) tend to see weaker price action. (b) Insiders are buying up (relatively cheap) consumer staples stocks.  (c) REITs are seeing significant relative value (vs expensive stocks).  And (d) the ETF marketplace appears to be a bit frothy.  Overall, per Callum Thomas: The key takeaway from this week is that while there are some pockets of excess and risk-flags, there are many opportunities out there for those willing to look in other directions and openly explore: cheap vs history vs Mag-7.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post:  #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-12072025-r-f-culbertson-oupvc

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

This Week in Barrons: 11.30.2025

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https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-11302025-r-f-culbertson-f714c 

 

Factually: (a) The S&P500 rebounded late-November to close “up” +0.13% on the month. (b) It’s now up 7-months in a row (n.b. win streaks often end at

7-months).  (c) LatAm (Venezuela) geopolitical risk is not being priced into markets yet.  And (d) US Small & Mid-caps look cheap vs history and vs expensive Mega caps.  Overall, per Callum Thomas: it’s looking like the November sell-off acted as a risk-clearing event, with a decline and subsequent surge in breadth.  This hints at

a “stealth correction” with side-lined money taking the chance to buy on a long-awaited pullback.  Yet, complacency is not part of this market’s playbook.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post: #investing #stocks#bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-11302025-r-f-culbertson-f714c 

 

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This Week in Barrons: 11.23.2025

 

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https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-11232025-r-f-culbertson-p8lsc 

 

Factually:  This week: (a) we found out where the key support levels are.  (b) We saw some short-term buy signals and buy-the-dip activity.  (c) Long-term sentiment indicators are sounding some warning signs.  (d) The current technology capex cycle appears to be extended.  And (e) It’s important to layout and quantify downside (and upside) risks.  Overall, the initial wave of the latest risk-off episode looks to have completed with markets finding support (and clarifying their key trigger points).  Short-term we could get a Thanksgiving rally, but the numerous and varied pressures building up in the system caution against any complacency.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-11232025-r-f-culbertson-p8lsc 

 

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This Week in Barrons: 11.09.2025

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https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-11092025-r-f-culbertson-c7swc 

 

Factually: (a) Bitcoin is rolling over: a warning sign for teetering tech stocks. (b) Investors of all types are increasingly all-in on the AI trade. (c) The AI race is heating up as an AI credit boom kicks-off. And (d) Investor sentiment is euphoric across numerous metrics while consumer confidence is slumping.  Overall, per Callum Thomas: the AI bubble continues to simmer away as investors increasingly pile into the only game in town.  This has all the hallmarks of a late-cycle market, with sentiment riding high and big bets being placed.  The mid-October volatility spike continues to show that we’re in an environment where the slightest post, nudge ‘n sneeze can send shudders through an otherwise complacent marketplace.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-11092025-r-f-culbertson-c7swc 

 

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This Week in Barrons: 11.02.2025

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https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-11022025-r-f-culbertson-iplcc 

 

Factually: (a) The S&Ps gained +2.27% in Oct – their 6th monthly gain in a row.  Following 6 consecutive monthly gains, another gain is more likely. (b) Seasonally, November is historically the best month of the year.  (c)  Tech’s surging profit margins help explain their extreme highs in valuations.  Profit margins peak before stocks, and with no margin peaks – then no stock peaks.  Overall, per Callum Thomas: There is a statistical slant towards another month of gains in November.  Yet never be satisfied with a 1-sided synopsis, bad breadth, statistical tails, and/or increasingly expensive valuations.  I suggest you not get too complacent this coming week.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-11022025-r-f-culbertson-iplcc 

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options