This Week in Barrons: 10.19.2025

 

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https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-10192025-r-f-culbertson-dbmcc 

 

Factually: (a) Stocks found support at their 50-dma, seasonality is turning up, and the trend is intact. (b) FED policy support & earnings are outweighing politics & valuations.  (c) Investor allocations to cash are at the low end of the historical range as investors are all-in on stocks.  And (d) Early tech stock bubbles are showing repeating patterns of market psychology.  Overall, per Callum Thomas: After the latest trade war scare selloff, the S&P500 has found support at its 50-dma, and the 200-dma remains upward sloping.  Yes, stocks are expensive.  Yes, (geo)political risk is in shambles with many a boogeyman lying in wait.  Yes, the macro environment has been a little murky, but central banks are cutting rates, (tech) earnings are decent, and the trend is your friend.   (The music’s still playing.)  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-10192025-r-f-culbertson-dbmcc 

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

This Week in Barrons: 10.12.2025

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https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-10122025-r-f-culbertson-rklxc 

 

Factually: (a) Seasonally, it’s not unusual to see volatility flare-ups this time of year.  You tend to see a dip and then a year-end-rally. (b) Speculators are already buying the dip. (c) Several indicators focused on speculative excesses are displaying fragility.  And (d) High valuations warn against complacency.  Overall, it’s 1999 == ‘Déjà vu all over again.’  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-10122025-r-f-culbertson-rklxc 

 

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This Week in Barrons: 10.05.2025

 

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https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-10052025-r-f-culbertson-r1vsc 

 

Factually: (a) The S&P500 made its 5th monthly gain in a row in September. (b) The 1990s tell us that there is room to run for this bull market.  (c) Lofty valuations suggest tempering your enthusiasm. In fact, the “S&P493” is overvalued vs its global peers (which are breaking out).  And (d) there is a growing list of major, global, bullish breakouts.  Overall, per Callum Thomas: The bull market moves higher.  While there are various warning signs starting to light up, there’s also numerous global, bullish developments.  These developments signal a bullish broadening of the rally and highlight the merits of looking beyond the Mag-7 for investment ideas.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-10052025-r-f-culbertson-r1vsc 

 

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This Week in Barrons: 09.28.2025

 

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https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-09282025-r-f-culbertson-osvmc 

 

Factually: (a) Seasonality is soft into Oct, (b) Defensive equities are dangerously discounted, (c) Tech valuations & allocations are at generational highs, and (d) Commodities look bullish and investors are underexposed.  Overall, per Callum Thomas: when many of the most interesting charts are sounding warning signs you just can’t ignore them.  The week ahead is giving off bearish vibes, but it’s the commodity sector (including precious metals) that is getting me excited and that not many people are talking about.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-09282025-r-f-culbertson-osvmc 

 

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This Week in Barrons: 09.21.2025

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https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-09212025-r-f-culbertson-zz9qc 

 

Factually: (a) The S&P500 remains in a strong uptrend, and resuming rate cuts has helped to unlock further new highs.  (b) Global equities are also going strong.  (c)  The wealth effects are speaking louder than soft jobs data.  And (d) There has been a surge in ETF launches recently.  Overall, per Callum Thomas, while there are some concerning signs and signals, the trend is still up and the path of least resistance for stocks looks to be: “Higher for Longer”.   And as we look at this week’s economic session; the changing US economy currently means that macro soft spots are set to get painted over by wealth effects.  It could also be the case that further bad economic news could be good news for the markets.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-09212025-r-f-culbertson-zz9qc 

 

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This Week in Barrons: 09.14.2025

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https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-09142025-r-f-culbertson-znlzc

 

Factually: (a) Tech and Bitcoin both peaked in August when investor allocations to equities reached a record high.  (b) Continued weak labor data makes the odds of a 25bps FED rate cut on Wednesday very likely.  Overall: While tech stocks have been riding a wave of strong fundamentals, the comparable numbers get more difficult going deeper into the year.  Headwinds include: a softening labor market, rising inflation risks, and ‘stagflation’ continuing to be front-n-center.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-09142025-r-f-culbertson-znlzc

 

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This Week in Barrons: 9.07.2025

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https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-9072025-r-f-culbertson-pazwc 

 

Factually: (a) Tech Stocks and Bitcoin peaked in August – both seeing extremes in investor positioning.  (b) Total investor allocations to equities reached a record high.  (c) Weak labor data raises the odds of FED rate cuts.  Overall, per Callum Thomas: While tech stocks have been riding a wave of strong fundamentals, the higher they climb – the greater the risk.  And that makes August’s technical top in tech – interesting.  Aside from that there is: a softening labor market, rising inflation risks, and the teetering prospect of “good cuts vs bad cuts”.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-9072025-r-f-culbertson-pazwc 

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options