This Week in Barrons: 08.31.2025

 

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https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-08312025-r-f-culbertson-dvmzc 

 

Factually: (a) The S&P500 closed up +1.9% in August (+9.8% YTD). (b) Future FED rate cuts are likely to be bullish for the markets.  (c) We are due for a seasonal uptick in volatility.  And (d) The bullish broadening theme continues to play through.  Overall, per Callum Thomas: This week’s 3 Key Themes are: (1) Future rate cuts will be bullish for markets and for rotational broadening of the market itself.  (2) There is a real tendency for volatility to spike around Sep/Oct.  (3) There is an abundance of bullish breakouts across sectors and regions which increases the odds for bull-market longevity and the bullish broadening of markets themselves.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-08312025-r-f-culbertson-dvmzc 

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

This Week in Barrons: 08.24.2025

 

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https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-08242025-r-f-culbertson-uui9c 

 

Factually: (a) There is bullish broadening, improved earnings breadth, and bullish rotations as markets trend higher. (b) There are plenty of seasonal risk flags and tech early warning indicators firing off as we head into September.  And (c) Credit spreads are at 25-year lows indicating confidence & complacency.  Overall, per Callum Thomas: This week’s 3 Key Themes are: (1) Markets are building bullish evidence via their technicals, rotation, and breadth.  (2) The big picture risk pressures are also increasing due to expensive valuations, AI hype, and all-in positioning.  And (3) The short-term seasonal risk flags are waving.  Reconcile these indicators via hedging, risk management strategies, and paying attention to what price is telling you.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-08242025-r-f-culbertson-uui9c 

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

 

This Week in Barrons: 08.17.2025

 

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https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-08172025-r-f-culbertson-9ca6c 

 

Factually: (a) Sentiment is slipping as we head into a seasonally ‘slippery’ part of the year. (b) Valuation indicators are reaching ‘stupidly’ extreme / expensive levels. (c) More people are ‘negotiating’ with the facts.  And (d) Emerging Market equities are cheap and breaking out.  Overall, per Callum Thomas: It’s just another day in the late stages of the market cycle. Aside from the speculation, there’s a bull market in the number of charts showing valuation extremes and pressure points.  More people are ‘negotiating’ against those facts using phrases like: “valuations don’t matter” and “it’s different this time”, but the facts are ironically what tend to give valuations a greater weight and meaning.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-08172025-r-f-culbertson-9ca6c 

 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

 

 

This Week in Barrons: 08.10.2025

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https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-8102025-r-f-culbertson-j9szc

Factually: (a) Companies are no longer concerned about a recession.  (b) Q2 earnings saw a large surge in big beats.  (c) Tech stock earnings are going vertical, non-tech stocks == horizontal earnings.  (d) Tech sector profit margins are at a cyclical and secular high.  And (e) If Tech used to be expensive, it’s now insanely priced.  Per Callum Thomas: The market continues in its lane - unbothered.  The tendency for higher volatility around Aug-Sept-Oct, and the constant geo-political surprises warns against complacency.  Maybe it’s just as simple as good earnings justifies expensive valuations.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-8102025-r-f-culbertson-j9szc

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

 

This Week in Barrons: 8.3.2025

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https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-832025-r-f-culbertson-qopsc 

Factually: (a) The S&Ps closed up +2.2% for July (+7.8% YTD), and subsequently slipped -1.6% the first day of August.  (b) Volatility and Credit Spreads are seeing their normal seasonal upturn.  (c) Investors are skewing portfolios heavier and heavier into tech stocks.  And (d) US electricity demand has broken out to a new all-time high.  Overall, Per Callum Thomas: Investors have shifted their focus from ‘rebound management’ to ‘full-risk-on’ – as the recovery from the April low fizzles, and seasonal headwinds begin to weigh.  Short-term technicals are tenuous, pressure points are building, but medium-to-long-term trend indicators remain healthy.  Please feel free to read the rest of the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/week-barrons-832025-r-f-culbertson-qopsc 

Please feel free to read the blog post: #investing #stocks #bonds #options