RF's Financial News

RF's Financial News

Sunday, June 15, 2014

This Week in Barrons - 6-15-14

This Week in Barrons – 6-15-2014

Everybody’s Dumping Dollars…



Since we left the gold standard in 1971, the buying power of the dollar has fallen by 80%.  Unfortunately, money is supposed to STORE value, and falling by 80% somewhat defeats that purpose.  Honestly, it's theft via inflation, and the world is tired of it.  The world wants a more stable currency reserve that they can hold onto for at least ten years, and retain it’s buying power.

The Chinese are the most vocal about this, but the Russians, Turks, Iranians, Indians, and a host of others are more than willing to replace the U.S. dollar with another currency.  This ‘replacement currency’ is going to be the single most disruptive element that has happened economically in our lifetime.  Just days ago, Gazprom (the giant Russian Gas/Energy supplier) announced that 90% of its customers are willing to pay for their energy in currencies other than the U.S. dollar.  The majority is going with the Euro (for now), but some (like Belarus) have already announced that they will pay in Rubles.

Now, many people will dismiss this by saying: “Who cares, that’s Russia."  But on Friday, France (yes France) suggested that it’s time to dump the dollar.  So now along with China, and Russia comes Christian Noyer (Governor of the Bank of France and member of the European Central Bank’s Governing Council) saying: “Our companies would have maximum interest in doing the most possible transactions in other currencies.  Trade between China and Europe -- do it in Euros, do it in Renminbi, stop doing it in U.S. dollars.  This is an affair that will leave marks."

I suspect that we’re just months away from Saudi Arabia announcing to the world that they will sell oil in currencies other than the dollar.  At that moment, all of the other OPEC nations will follow suit.  Let’s not forget, Iraq is the 2nd largest oil producer for OPEC, and if the militants take over – it’s doubtful that they will continue using U.S. dollars.

I'm on record saying that all eyes are turning East, and the U.S. isn't invited.  Yes, countries will be glad to sell goods to the U.S. – after all – the U.S. consumer is the world’s ultimate shopper.  The U.S. is the only country where you find:
-       The average consumer having 26 credit cards,
-       The average college student having over $50,000 in debt,
-       The average retiree having less than $40,000 in savings, and
-       An economy that for the next 16 years, between 8,000 and 10,000 baby boomers will retire each DAY.

In other words, the U.S.'s ability to ‘shop till you drop’ has seen better days.  The rest of the world has done the math and they ‘get it’.  They have decided that if they’re going to make a global move, NOW is the time to do it.  My only worry is that some of this happens by force instead of by pact.  For example:
-       If the world ditches the U.S. dollar, are we ‘evil’ enough to start a nuclear confrontation to stop that adoption?
-       If China decides it needs even more resources to keep their population in food and goods, will they simply ‘take it’ from weaker nations?
-       Right now, I see the back door deals, the pacts, and the trading zones being developed, but if/when things start getting ugly – all bets are off.

The U.S. has slapped sanctions on Russia, and we expect the countries in the ECU to follow our lead.  Honestly, Germany has approximately 4,000 businesses that deal with Russia.  Is Germany really going to go along with tougher sanctions that would ultimately hurt their own corporations?  The Germans might like us, but biting the hand that ‘feeds’ them is NOT the German way.

Wednesday we'll be hearing from the Federal Reserve concerning their monetary policy.  Will they taper again?  Will they slow or even increase the taper?  The answer to those questions will determine if we get a substantial pull back, or if we resume our climb to all-time highs.


The Market:

After a decent start to the week, the market went into pause mode trying to digest its gains.  But then the rumor mill started.  One rumor was that in Iraq, a huge group of militants had over run large portions of the country.  Another rumor was that the FED would INCREASE the speed of the taper, to $15 Billion instead of their normal $10 Billion/mo.  Then there were the frightened banksters trying to find out if they were the victims of commodity fraud in the Chinese ports.  That was all that was needed for the market to do some weekly profit taking.

Friday was off to a tough start as the Bank of England suggested they might raise interest rates sooner than anticipated.  That bothered Europe, which in turn spilled over onto our futures.  The President had to come on television to explain what he may do about the Iraq situation.  Russia sent tanks to its borders, tired of the Ukraine violence spilling into their own country.  Oil was spiking higher, and gasoline was indicated to gain 11 cents or more.  GM recalled another 500,000 cars, and our consumer confidence number fell the most in 18 months.  Yet on Friday, somehow, we managed a bravado bounce, with the DOW ending UP 41 points.

This week Larry Summers, the former Secretary of the Treasury, continued to advance the bull case for the stock market rally.  His thesis is that the economy has structurally changed.  The change is that capital and labor are no longer complementary.  In the past, to produce goods you needed people, and people needed machines to produce goods.  However, Larry contends that starting in the late 90's, capital began to be not a ‘complement’ but a ‘substitute’ for labor.  Essentially, the automobile factory no longer needed the same ratio of people to machines – effectively replacing the people making the cars with technology.  This increased demand for technology is actually lowering the demand for labor.  This also explains the growing income inequality in the world.  People are being replaced by technology, and the capitalists are taking greater and greater gains from economic growth.  Therefore the jobs that are in highest demand are: (a) very ‘personal’ jobs like barbers, plumbers, and carpenters that are not easily replaced by technology, and (b) very high-wage positions that require extensive analytical abilities that are also hard to replace with machines.  This disruption has proven to be extremely positive for publicly traded corporations as it produces higher profit margins as a result of low wage growth.

If the shift from capital being a ‘complement’ to a ‘replacement’ for labor is truly here, the effect will be three-fold:
-       First, interest rates will remain much lower for a longer period of time than anyone is currently anticipating.
-       Second, the stock market will go much higher than what people are anticipating.  If technology is allowing capital investment to get greater returns, then the best course of action is to ‘own the capital’ (aka: invest in the stock market).
-       Finally, combining the economic shift with the increasing global labor supply – we are looking at a prolonged period of stagnant wage growth.

This week is the FED two-day policy meeting.  What they have to say will preview the course of the market for the next month or so. 
-       If they were to say that they're willing to stop tapering – we’ll soar to new highs.
-       If they announce another $10B cut, and say they're keeping that policy – we’ll probably trade sideways and down.
-       If they intimate that they're willing to increase the amount of the taper – we’ll see a fast and ugly 20% drop.

Therefore, Monday and Tuesday should be choppy, and we won’t truly know the true direction until Wednesday afternoon.  Be careful, first reactions to the FED minutes are (more often than not) wrong.


Tips:

Over these next several weeks, I’m going to begin to modify the TIPS section – into a more focused trading section.  I’ll be recommending exact trades to make, and how to make them.  The timing will be a little ‘interesting’ but I’ll attempt to announce my trades via Twitter and via StockTwits.  If you wish to ‘follow me’, my nickname on both of these sites is: ‘taylorpamm’.

This coming Friday is Quadruple Witching, and for the week I’m looking for the following plays:
-       BIDU – is in a ‘Weekly Squeeze’.  Look at the July, monthly call options: $165 strike price @ $15.10
-       FireEye (FEYE) – Review the September, monthly call options: $30 strike price @ $8.40, and the $38 strike price @ $4.20
-       Western Digital (WDC) – Review the July, monthly call options: $85 strike price @ $7.60.
-       XLNX – is in a ‘Daily Squeeze’.  Review the July, monthly call options: $45 strike price @ $2.37.
-       Solar Power (SPWR) – is in a ‘Weekly Squeeze’.  Review the July, monthly call options: $33 strike price @ $3.55, and the $36 strike price @ $1.75.
-       UPL – Evaluate the July, monthly call options: $27 strike price @ $2.40, and the $30 strike price @ $0.85.
-       J.P. Morgan (JPM) – there is an interesting ‘pinning’ arrangement taking shape.  That is to say based upon the Call and Put volume, the stock could be setting up to end the week around $57.50.  Therefore I would recommend:  SELLing the $57.50 – June monthly CALL options, and SELLing the $57.50 – June monthly PUT Options.  If the stock PINS at $57.50 – then you collect both premiums.  I would also recommend a purchase of the July monthly call options: $55 strike price @ $2.36 – on the hopes that we will see pent-up demand purchase JPM – after quadruple witching Friday. 

Reviewing our Past Week’s Performance:
-       The Apple (AAPL) 7 for 1 stock split worked out nicely for us – with the stock peaking last week around $94+ per share.  The goal was to take most of our position ‘off the table’ when it reached that 1.272 extension – and that’s what we did.  We remain holding a small amount – to see if we can potentially retest the all-time highs before quadruple witching Friday (June 20th).  So let’s keep our fingers crossed there.
-       Mannkind Pharmaceutical (MNKD) – Again, congrats to those of you who are still with me in MNKD.  This week we saw the stock pull back into the $9’s and then ramp right back up to close in the mid-$10’s.  I’m continuing to (a) buy the pullbacks, and (b) sell the weekly $11 / $11.50 or even $12 Covered Calls for extra income.  And if you get ‘called out’, you will pocket a nice weekly return in excess of 9%.
-       I’m still in Durata Therapeutics (DRTX) – using the same MNKD strategy.
-       My small energy portfolio continues below: yielding an average monthly return of slightly over 16% for the month.

My current short-term holds are:
-       DRTX (Drug) – in @ $13.67 – (currently $15.70),         15% increase
o   (Look at Selling the $15 / $12.50 Put Credit Spread)
-       MNKD – in @ $6.35 – (currently $10.52),                       65% increase
-       AMKR (Energy) – In @ $9.43 (currently $11.70)            24% increase / mo.
-       ASX (Tech) – in @ $5.81 (currently $6.36),                     9% increase / mo.
-       FET (Energy) – in @ $30.53 (currently $34.08),            12% increase / mo.
-       FPP (Energy) – in @ $5.68 (currently $5.71),                 1% increase / wk.
-       HK (Energy) – in @ $5.25 – (currently $6.64),               26% increase / mo.
-       KOG (Energy) – in @ $12.98 – (currently $13.79),        6% increase / wk.
-       NGLS (Energy) – in @ $64.47 – (currently $68.62),     6% increase / mo.
-       NOG (Energy) – in @ $14.97 – (currently $16.41),       10% increase / 2 wk.
-       PFIE (Energy) – in @ $3.97 – (currently $5.30),            34% decrease / mo.
-       PQ (Energy) – in @ $5.87 – (currently $6.69),               17% increase / mo.
-       PVA (Energy) – in @ $14.57 – (currently $15.46),         6% increase / mo.
-       RFMD (Tech) – in @ $7.96 – (currently $9.90),                         24% increase / mo.
-       SPIL (Tech) – in @ 7.20 – (currently $8.08),                  12% increase / mo.
-       THRM (Trans) – in @ $41.42 – (currently $42.18),       2% increase / 2 wk.
-       UIHC (Insurance) – in @ $16.81 – (currently $18.02),             7% increase / 2 wk.
-       VTNR (Energy) – in @ 7.35 – (currently $9.45),             29% increase / mo.
-       SIL (Silver) – in at 24.51 - (currently 12.75) – no stop,
-       GLD (ETF for Gold) – in at 158.28, (currently 122.93) – no stop ($1,278 per physical ounce), AND
-       SLV (ETF for Silver) – in at 28.3 (currently 18.90) – no stop ($19.73 per physical ounce).

To follow me on Twitter and get my daily thoughts and trades – my handle is: taylorpamm. 

Please be safe out there!

Disclaimer:
Expressed thoughts proffered within the BARRONS REPORT, a Private and free weekly economic newsletter, are those of noted entrepreneur, professor and author, R.F. Culbertson, contributing sources and those he interviews.  You can learn more and get your free subscription by visiting: <http://rfcfinancialnews.blogspot.com> .

Please write to Mr. Culbertson at: <rfc@culbertsons.com> to inform him of any reproductions, including when and where copy will be reproduced. You may use in complete form or, if quoting in brief, reference <rfcfinancialnews.blogspot.com>.

If you'd like to view RF's actual stock trades - and see more of his thoughts - please feel free to sign up as a Twitter follower -  "taylorpamm" is the handle.

If you'd like to see RF in action - teaching people about investing - please feel free to view the TED talk that he gave on Fearless Investing: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K2Z9I_6ciH0

To unsubscribe please refer to the bottom of the email.

Views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest and is not in any way a testimony of, or associated with Mr. Culbertson's other firms or associations.  Mr. Culbertson and related parties are not registered and licensed brokers.  This message may contain information that is confidential or privileged and is intended only for the individual or entity named above and does not constitute an offer for or advice about any alternative investment product. Such advice can only be made when accompanied by a prospectus or similar offering document.  Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Please make sure to review important disclosures at the end of each article.

Note: Joining BARRONS REPORT is not an offering for any investment. It represents only the opinions of RF Culbertson and Associates.

PAST RESULTS ARE NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. THERE IS RISK OF LOSS AS WELL AS THE OPPORTUNITY FOR GAIN WHEN INVESTING IN MANAGED FUNDS. WHEN CONSIDERING ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS (INCLUDING HEDGE FUNDS) AN INVESTOR SHOULD CONSIDER VARIOUS RISKS INCLUDING THE FACT THAT SOME PRODUCTS AND OTHER SPECULATIVE INVESTMENT PRACTICES MAY INCREASE RISK OF INVESTMENT LOSS; MAY NOT BE SUBJECT TO THE SAME REGULATORY REQUIREMENTS AS MUTUAL FUNDS, OFTEN CHARGE HIGH FEES, AND IN MANY CASES THE UNDERLYING INVESTMENTS ARE NOT TRANSPARENT AND ARE KNOWN ONLY TO THE INVESTMENT MANAGER.

Alternative investment performance can be volatile. An investor could lose all or a substantial amount of his or her investment. Often, alternative investment fund and account managers have total trading authority over their funds or accounts; the use of a single advisor applying generally similar trading programs could mean lack of diversification and, consequently, higher risk. There is often no secondary market for an investor's interest in alternative investments, and none is expected to develop.

All material presented herein is believed to be reliable but we cannot attest to its accuracy. Opinions expressed in these reports may change without prior notice. Culbertson and/or the staff may or may not have investments in any funds cited above.

Remember the Blog: <http://
rfcfinancialnews.blogspot.com/> 
Until next week – be safe.

R.F. Culbertson
<http://rfcfinancialnews.blogspot.com>



Sunday, June 8, 2014

This Week in Barrons - 6-8-2014

This Week in Barrons – 6-8-2014



Crazy Eddie: “Our Prices Are Insane!”

All through college one of my best friends from New Jersey always talked about Crazy Eddie’s television commercials where he would scream about his prices being – ‘Insane’.  Speaking of ‘insanity’, remember the street card game called: ‘3-Card Monte’?  It’s a card game of deflection, where a dealer will have 3 cards displayed – often two black kings and a red ace.  The dealer will then proceed to turn them face down, mix them up a little, and then ask you to find the ace.  In the beginning, it’s easy, and you find the ace each time – because he’s just ‘baiting the hook’ (letting you win).  The moment he senses you ‘take the bait’, he starts throwing the cards in a different manner, confusing you, and causing you to lose all your money.

This week’s global economic moves remind me of a ‘3-Card Monte’.  The various global dealers shuffle their numbers around, hide the ugly facts, and allow you to easily see the ‘bright red ace’.  For example: we all know that inflation is in high gear, but according to the various global FED’s, not only does it not exist, they would like MORE of it.  The reality is: last week Haver Analytics produced a chart listing many elements, and their respective ‘year over year’ price increases – such as:
-       Railway Transportation = up +17%,
-       Movie Tickets = up +16%,
-       Games, Toys, and hobbies = up +14%,
-       Pleasure Boats and Aircraft = up +8.5%,
-       Pharmaceuticals = up +8.5%,
-       Video and Audio Equipment = up +8%,
-       New Cars = up +6%,
-       Motorcycles = up +6.3%,
-       Household Appliances = up +6%,
-       Air Transportation = up +5% (not counting baggage fees, etc.),
-       Hotels = up +4.5%, and
-       Cable and Satellite TV = up 4%.

Therefore, factually - Inflation is really here, and the worry about ‘deflation’ is a just a deflection – one big ‘3-Card Monte’. 

But what about the ‘3-Card Monte’ that’s surfacing surrounding commodities?  On Monday, Reuters reported: “China's northeastern port of Qingdao has halted shipments of aluminum and copper due to an investigation by authorities, causing concern among bankers and trade houses financing the metals.”  The scam goes as follows:
-       China has been using a lot of commodities as collateral to make business loans.
-       For example: a businessman tells his banker that he would like to borrow $3M, and would like to use his 5,000 tons of copper that he has in XYZ warehouse as collateral.
-       The banker sends someone out to view and verify the copper in XYZ warehouse.
-       The banker gets a report back verifying the copper being in XYZ warehouse, and the banker (correspondingly) releases the $3M to the businessman.
-       The issue is that the businessman used that very same copper as collateral at 3 other banks in town – where he also received millions of dollars in loans.
-       It seems that right after banker #1 secured the loan, the copper was moved to another warehouse and a loan was secured there, and then moved to a 3rd , 4th , and 5th warehouse.
-       So the entire port has shut down operations as they try and figure out just how many banks have loans outstanding against the SAME shipments of copper/Iron/aluminum etc.
-       The other problem is figuring out WHERE the particular commodities are actually located.

To quote another banker familiar with the situation: “It appears there is a discrepancy in the amount of actual metal that should be there, and metal that is actually there.  We think the discrepancies are approximately 80,000 tons of aluminum, and 20,000 tons of copper – but the volumes could be substantially higher – and the collateralization is at least triple."  That means that for every shipment of ‘stuff’, there are 3 (or more) banks now laying claim to it because they have made loans against it.  This is called: re-hypothecation.  For Gold, it is believed that for every ounce of Gold – over 100 different banks have laid claim to (loaned money against) that particular ounce of Gold.

So who owns the stuff?  Great question.  But, this scam isn’t new.  While the name – re-hypothecation is new – the bogus inventory / securing loans scam is as old as the hills.  Back in the 70's, there was ‘Crazy Eddie’ electronics.  Crazy Eddie sold stereos, radios, and speakers at ‘insanely’ low prices.  Eddie would load up a store with the inventory from all the other stores, and (the next day) have the bank verify that store’s inventory.  As soon as the banker had left the store, Eddie would take it all over to the next store that the bankers were inspecting.  The bankers would be satisfied, and continue to write inventory ‘collateralized’ loans.  Eddie would pocket half the money, and use the other half for inventory in yet another new store.  But how is this any different than our own Central Bankers printing money out of thin air?  At least ‘Crazy Eddie’ went to jail - meanwhile our present-day ‘Banksters’ remain at large.

The Market:

Last week, virtually every day was an all-new high.  On Thursday we learned that Draghi and the European Central Bank (ECB) were going to take interest rates NEGATIVE in an effort to force banks to lend.  The market loved it, not because it will work – but because Draghi said that he was ‘Not Finished” with his reforms.  This means that going forward he could still come out with some form of QE.  So (on Thursday) the market ended with new, all-time highs on the DOW and the S&P.

Friday brought up the Non-Farm Payrolls Report.  According to the report there were 217,000 jobs created in May.  Factually:
-       Of those 217,000 jobs – 205,000 were fictitious, Birth/Death model accounting.  Subtracting off the fictitious 205,000 jobs, this leaves us with 12,000 ‘real jobs’ created in the month of May.  This 12,000 (real figure) would offer Democrats up for re-election little ammo to fight: Benghazi, the VA disaster, and the terrorist release – hence the inflated Birth/Death figure.
-       The other disturbing element is that most of the jobs created were in the (minimum wage) retail and leisure industries, and not in the high paying ‘technology and medical’ arenas.

The Street didn’t care, and once again the DOW and S&P made new, all-time highs on Friday.  With the European decision and the jobs report behind us, there’s a mild chance that we see a little profit-taking sneak in over the next week or so.  I tend to think the market will fade off a bit and try and digest the latest big push higher.  The question now is how Ms. Yellen and the FED will respond at her June 17th meeting.  Japan and Europe have both taken radical actions to spur inflation, devalue their currency, force investments into equities, and boost exports.  The moves by Japan hurt the US, and it’s only a matter of time before the ECB’s recent moves impact our markets.  Combine the negative GDP, the ECB’s recent stimulus action, and our lackluster Labor Report – this could help Yellen either halt or hint at a halt in the QE taper.


Tips:

In the U.S. the path has been one called ZIRP (zero interest rates for overnight lending facilities).  The Europeans have decided that zero rates are just too ‘common place’ for their taste, and have announced that deposit rates will be negative 0.1%.  Yes – depositors will have to PAY for the privilege of keeping money in a bank.  The idea behind this particular absurdity is that it will force banks to lend money for projects – since lending it out will create a bigger return than just sitting on it and paying for the privilege.  But there is absolutely NO proof that this actually works.  Denmark tried it for a year, and it simply kept the Danish currency depressed enough that they could export more goods.  So that ended up being simply a currency war.  This policy truly CRUSHES the SAVER, as it forces them into riskier assets in order not to LOSE money.  

For the longest time economists thought (and many still do) that negative interest rates equated to serious economic problems that would mark the end of a particular ‘currency’ being a store of value.  Negative interest rates are the ultimate economic weapon – as they are: a tax on money, a punishment for savers, a method of forcing people to spend money even if they don’t want to, and a method of forcing people to borrow money and increase debt.  In an economic nuclear war, Draghi just pushed the button.  On one hand politicians, political pundits, and Keynesian economists are telling us about a strong and robust recovery, as some are expecting 3 – 4% growth for 2014.  However, if our economy is as strong as they say – why the radical monetary policy?  Honestly, everyone can choose to temporarily ignore the math associated with negative interest rates, but in the end, no one will be able to avoid its results.

Factually:
-       Apple (AAPL) is doing a 7:1 stock split over this weekend.  The debate that’s raging is whether Monday (now that Apple will be trading around $92+/share) brings an immediate acceleration to $100/share, OR whether it will need to do a little more ‘back-filling’ before continuing it’s rise in price.  I believe the stock is heading back to all-time highs, but I’m on the fence as to whether it will occur this coming week.  If you’re in the stock/options already – CONGRATS – and on Monday you should have 7X more stock/options than you had on Friday.  You may have to endure a couple days of pain before the uptrend continues – otherwise look for an exit near $100 per share.  If you’re not currently in the stock/option – let’s discuss some plays in AAPL in next Sunday’s letter.
-       Mannkind Pharmaceutical (MNKD) – Congrats to those of you who are still with me in MNKD.  This week we saw the stock go from $8.90 to $11, before ending the week @ $10.28.   We remain before the scheduled, mid-July FDA approval date.  In MNKD – I’m continuing to: (a) Buy the stock @ market $10.28, (b) sell the weekly $11 Covered Call @ $0.29 weekly – and (c) if you get called out you will pocket a 9% weekly premium.  If you don’t get called out – you have the 2.5% premium given by the Covered Call itself.  The other way I play MNKD is by selling the $10 / $9 Put Credit Spread for $0.30 – and either pocketing the $300 (for 10 options) for the week – or being PUT the stock for a net purchase price of $9.70 per share.
-       Durata Therapeutics (DRTX) – With DRTX I’m continuing to see it retrace to its previous highs.  I’m selling the $15/$12.50 Put Credit Spread for $0.45 cents, (anything above 25 cents I consider a gift – fyi) – along with employing the same philosophy as MNKD above.  Here again, the $17.50 Covered Calls are paying over 2% and that’s not too bad for a 2-week hold of the stock.
-       My small energy and tech plays continue below: AMKR, ASX, FET, FPP, HK, LSCC, NGLS, PFIE, PQ, PVA, RFMD, SPIL, THRM, UIHC and VTNR.  I continue to purchase these stocks while they are very ‘affordable’.  The portfolio was up (all totaled) over 8% in the month of May, so we are ‘off to the races.’
-       I’m adding AME, AGCO, GRFS, KOG, and NWE to my stocks to ‘watch’ list for next week.

My current short-term holds are:
-       DRTX (Drug) – in @ $13.67 – (currently $16.03),         18% increase
o   (Look at $15 / $12.50 Put Credit Spread)
-       MNKD – in @ $6.35 – (currently $10.28),                       62% increase
-       TLT – Waiting to enter again,
-       USO (Oil) – Waiting to enter again,
-       AMKR (Energy) – In @ $9.43 (currently $10.75)            14% increase
-       ASX (Tech) – in @ $5.81 (currently $6.35),                     19% increase
-       FET (Energy) – in @ $30.53 (currently $34.32),            12% increase
-       HK (Energy) – in @ $5.25 – (currently $6.40),               22% increase
-       LSCC (Tech) – in @ $7.85 – (currently $8.21),              5% increase
-       NGLS (Energy) – in @ $64.47 – (currently $68.34),     6% increase
-       PFIE (Energy) – in @ $3.97 – (currently $4.15),            5% decrease
-       PQ (Energy) – in @ $5.87 – (currently $6.08),               4% increase
-       PVA (Energy) – in @ $14.57 – (currently $14.26),         -2% increase
-       RFMD (Tech) – in @ $7.96 – (currently $9.60),                         21% increase
-       SPIL (Tech) – in @ 7.20 – (currently $8.44),                  17% increase
-       THRM (Trans) – in @ $41.42 – (currently $43.36),       5% increase
-       UIHC (Insurance) – in @ $16.81 – (currently $18.25),             9% increase
-       VTNR (Energy) – in @ 7.35 – (currently $9.50),             29% increase
-       SIL (Silver) – in at 24.51 - (currently 11.76) – no stop,
-       GLD (ETF for Gold) – in at 158.28, (currently 120.61) – no stop ($1,253 per physical ounce), AND
-       SLV (ETF for Silver) – in at 28.3 (currently 18.28) – no stop ($19.05 per physical ounce).

To follow me on Twitter and get my daily thoughts and trades – my handle is: taylorpamm. 

Please be safe out there!

Disclaimer:
Expressed thoughts proffered within the BARRONS REPORT, a Private and free weekly economic newsletter, are those of noted entrepreneur, professor and author, R.F. Culbertson, contributing sources and those he interviews.  You can learn more and get your free subscription by visiting: <http://rfcfinancialnews.blogspot.com> .

Please write to Mr. Culbertson at: <rfc@culbertsons.com> to inform him of any reproductions, including when and where copy will be reproduced. You may use in complete form or, if quoting in brief, reference <rfcfinancialnews.blogspot.com>.

If you'd like to view RF's actual stock trades - and see more of his thoughts - please feel free to sign up as a Twitter follower -  "taylorpamm" is the handle.

If you'd like to see RF in action - teaching people about investing - please feel free to view the TED talk that he gave on Fearless Investing: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K2Z9I_6ciH0

To unsubscribe please refer to the bottom of the email.

Views expressed are provided for information purposes only and should not be construed in any way as an offer, an endorsement, or inducement to invest and is not in any way a testimony of, or associated with Mr. Culbertson's other firms or associations.  Mr. Culbertson and related parties are not registered and licensed brokers.  This message may contain information that is confidential or privileged and is intended only for the individual or entity named above and does not constitute an offer for or advice about any alternative investment product. Such advice can only be made when accompanied by a prospectus or similar offering document.  Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Please make sure to review important disclosures at the end of each article.

Note: Joining BARRONS REPORT is not an offering for any investment. It represents only the opinions of RF Culbertson and Associates.

PAST RESULTS ARE NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. THERE IS RISK OF LOSS AS WELL AS THE OPPORTUNITY FOR GAIN WHEN INVESTING IN MANAGED FUNDS. WHEN CONSIDERING ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS (INCLUDING HEDGE FUNDS) AN INVESTOR SHOULD CONSIDER VARIOUS RISKS INCLUDING THE FACT THAT SOME PRODUCTS AND OTHER SPECULATIVE INVESTMENT PRACTICES MAY INCREASE RISK OF INVESTMENT LOSS; MAY NOT BE SUBJECT TO THE SAME REGULATORY REQUIREMENTS AS MUTUAL FUNDS, OFTEN CHARGE HIGH FEES, AND IN MANY CASES THE UNDERLYING INVESTMENTS ARE NOT TRANSPARENT AND ARE KNOWN ONLY TO THE INVESTMENT MANAGER.

Alternative investment performance can be volatile. An investor could lose all or a substantial amount of his or her investment. Often, alternative investment fund and account managers have total trading authority over their funds or accounts; the use of a single advisor applying generally similar trading programs could mean lack of diversification and, consequently, higher risk. There is often no secondary market for an investor's interest in alternative investments, and none is expected to develop.

All material presented herein is believed to be reliable but we cannot attest to its accuracy. Opinions expressed in these reports may change without prior notice. Culbertson and/or the staff may or may not have investments in any funds cited above.

Remember the Blog: <http://
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Until next week – be safe.

R.F. Culbertson
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